Food Security: If bill becomes law!

UPA II brought a legislature on the food security, fulfilling an election manifesto promise, a gesture seen rarely in democratic India. But key questions are raised almost on every provision of the bill, be it the out sized amount of finances involved, its serious fiscal implications, population identification or distribution mechanisms and its large scale food grain procurement except on its noble intentions and utmost necessity. Let’s try to understand the legislation and find answers to draw a clear picture.

NFSB (National Food Security Bill): The bill aims to cover close to 64% of our total population. It proposes an imaginary division of population in general and priority households, covering nearly 75% of rural and 50% of urban population under its ambit with at least 46% in rural and 28% in urban areas under priority households and promises them the right to 7kg of food grains per person per month at subsidized rates. General category would get at least 3 kg of grains at a rate not exceeding 50 per cent of the minimum support price. What are these unheard divisions? The division will be based on findings of socio-economic caste census carried out by the respective State Government with the financial and technical support of the Government of India, which will be used to separate out priority household from the general. Doing as promised will require 61 million tons of food grains thus an escalation in food procurement, translating into total food subsidies to Rs.1 Lakh crore. It also gives Central government usurps all powers to decide the number of people belonging to priority households and imposes a substantial level of expenditure on the State governments. In words the bill sounds simple, doesn’t it? Then why has the bill triggered slurry of criticisms? Let’s answer to the questions floating in the criticisms and see which part of the chain of food security are missing i.e. the production of food, its distribution and its absorption by the poor and hungry.

Where will the food come from? – Current average food grain procurement is 52 million tons which has peaked in the last 3 years owing to good rainfall. But if we see back, we were producing much less thus average procurement was much lower between 2002-2008. Since Indian agriculture is largely dependent on monsoons we may have years of bad monsoon and the average production will is less,  then the remaining food grain to meet the legally mandated demand will have to be imported which could climb the global prices up. The way out is to make India self-sufficient for its requirement for which we need to invest in agricultural growth, scientific irrigation, in rural roads that provide vital physical linkage to markets, in scientific storage and efficient transport logistics, in developing as close a link as possible between the farmer and the first stage of food processing, in short we need second green revolution or a evergreen revolution sooner. Ideally, we need to have all the agro reforms in place before embarking on such an exercise or else the scheme will be a non-starter or a simple failure. 

How the food will be distributed? – The distribution mechanism is centralized and raises question whether such massive exercise can be handled by FCI(food corporation of India), and can this system deliver? The food ministry earlier revealed that it costs Rs.134 per quintal to procure wheat while it costs them Rs.289 to distribute it. These enormous costs are the result of our failure to move towards a decentralized system. The way towards an efficient and financially viable distribution mechanism calls for localized innovations in productivity, to procure food at panchayat levels and involve these institutions where delivery can be ensured and fastened, which will also give way to new economic activities.  The only logical way to tackle hunger is to try different methods and see which one works best and extend the model nationally. This is how the mid-day meal scheme introduced in Tamil Nadu in was adopted nationally in 2001.

Who will be given the food? –  The bill proposes to give food to priority and general households but no clear division mechanism and is the biggest downside of the legislation which will not only divide people within same community, the criteria used will leave out many deserving households and this division of household is counter reproductive to the inclusive PDS approach in states like TN and AP. Only feasible exit is to either give everyone the same entitlement or the entitlements above poverty line be completely vanished and poorest households can continue to get special support. This bill is not India’s first crack at hunger. In the past we have had the food-for-work programme (a variant of NREGA), the Antyodaya scheme (targeted at the ultra-poor), the mid-day meal scheme for children, and the anganwadi schemes for mother and child. Above it all, we have public distribution system (PDS) which works well in some states 

What are the fiscal implications?  Even though the bill will burden the state exchequer a large amount it is unlikely that bill come into force in the entire country in one go and the subsidy will materialize right away. What is at stake, therefore, is not an immediate financial blow, but the ability of the Indian economy and public finances to accommodate this Bill over a period of time. We definitely need food security and the amount involved cannot be the reason for not doing it.

 Is it another ‘common-man’ stunt? –  Since the economic growth model is not inclusive, rising inflation and chronic global economic fluctuations are bound to make India’s war on poverty difficult. So the fact is that the country’s poor need subsidized food to be able to spend their earning on their important needs, like health care and children’s education. The government, on the other hand, by its very nature, has to balance contradictions in society and hence has an obligation to providing the poor with a minimum sense of existence. Based on this thought, the Food Security Bill should be welcomed. Hence, the administration of food security is a challenge beyond budgetary numbers, which seems to have caught everyone’s attention! 

 The truth is that food security comes from ensuring three things: creating jobs and income, ensuring higher food output by raising productivity, and creating a safety net to feed those who can’t do so themselves in distress situations. The proposed subsidies can help the efforts but it cannot eliminate the problem. And the food security bill is just one approach to the problem and is certainly a flawed one!

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